# Table 19: Country-Level Predicted vs Actual Real 10y Yield (2022-2024 avg)

| Country | Predicted | Actual | Residual |
|---------|----------:|-------:|---------:|
| JPN | -0.66 | -2.49 | -1.83 |
| SWE | -5.37 | -4.97 | 0.41 |
| FIN | -4.31 | -3.41 | 0.90 |
| FRA | -4.45 | -3.44 | 1.02 |
| DEU | -6.71 | -5.56 | 1.16 |
| PRT | -5.14 | -3.98 | 1.16 |
| AUT | -7.03 | -5.77 | 1.26 |
| GBR | -6.25 | -4.93 | 1.31 |
| NLD | -7.10 | -5.79 | 1.32 |
| GRC | -4.32 | -2.98 | 1.34 |
| DNK | -5.31 | -3.87 | 1.44 |
| IRL | -6.06 | -4.33 | 1.73 |
| BEL | -5.67 | -3.90 | 1.77 |
| ESP | -5.07 | -3.02 | 2.05 |
| ITA | -5.66 | -3.60 | 2.07 |
| AUS | -4.74 | -2.55 | 2.19 |
| CHE | -3.91 | -1.55 | 2.36 |
| USA | -5.01 | -2.61 | 2.40 |
| CAN | -5.13 | -2.27 | 2.86 |
| NZL | -5.36 | -2.32 | 3.03 |
| NOR | -6.62 | -2.48 | 4.13 |
| KOR | -5.80 | -0.84 | 4.96 |
| MEX | -3.50 | 2.35 | 5.85 |

*Predicted using pre-GFC (<=2007) OECD estimated coefficients. N = 23 countries.*